Tropical Weather Outlook for the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Weather Outlook for the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

two atl 2d0Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An elongated area of low pressure located more than 150 miles off the coast of South Carolina is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the east of the center of circulation. Strong upper-level winds should prevent any significant tropical or subtropical development during the next day or two. By Sunday, however, environmental conditions could briefly become marginally conducive for some subtropical development of the low. By early next week, the low is expected to interact with a frontal boundary, which should end the opportunity for any subtropical or tropical formation. Regardless of development, the low is forecast to meander just offshore the Carolinas for the next few days, occasionally bringing locally heavy rains and gusty winds to eastern portions of the Carolinas through the weekend.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Stewart