NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located about 100 miles east of the coast of northeast Florida, on Tropical Storm Fernand, located a short distance east of the coast of northeastern Mexico, and on newly formed Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
- A small area of low pressure, located just east of Bermuda, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this disturbance is possible, and a tropical depression could
form during the next couple of days as the disturbance moves northeastward away from Bermuda. Afterward, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
- A tropical wave is forecast to emerge later today over the far eastern tropical Atlantic west of Africa. Environmental conditions are forecast to become mostly conducive for development late this week, and this system has the potential to become a tropical depression over the weekend or early next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Forecaster Blake
