Tropical Weather Outlook for the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Weather Outlook for the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Wed Oct 13 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

two atl 2d0

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, the southeastern Bahamas, and adjacent Atlantic waters continue in association with a surface trough of low pressure. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur during the next couple of days due to unfavorable upper-level winds. The system is forecast to drift northward through tonight, then accelerate eastward as a broad area of low pressure on Thursday. Toward the end of the week, further development is not anticipated since the disturbance will be interacting with a frontal system. Regardless, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola, the Turks and

Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next day or two.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Stewart