NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located southeast of the Cabo Verde Is-lands remain disorganized. Some slow development is possible during the next day or two while the system moves generally west-northwestward at about 10 mph. By this weekend, the system is fore-cast to move into a less conducive environment, and further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northeastern Gulf of America and Offshore of the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form this weekend over the northeastern Gulf of America. Some gradual development of this system is possible while it moves slowly northeastward over the north-eastern Gulf and near the coast of the southeastern United States early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Beven
