NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle, near the east-ern Azores, and on recently upgraded Hurricane Humberto, over the subtropical central Atlantic.
Southwestern Atlantic (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with a tropical wave located near Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and eastern Cuba. An area of low pres-sure is expected to form along the wave by tonight when it moves near the southeast Bahamas. This low is expected to become a tropical depression when it is in the vicinity of the central and northwest Bahamas over the weekend, and then track northwestward or northward over the southwestern At-lantic.
Regardless of development, heavy rains and gusty winds are ongoing in the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and the Turks and Caicos Islands, and are likely to spread across the Bahamas and eastern Cuba dur-ing the next day or two. Interests in all of these areas should monitor the progress of the system. While there remains considerable uncertainty in the long-range track and intensity of the system, there is a significant risk of wind, rainfall, and storm surge impacts for a portion of the southeast U.S. coast early next week. Interests in this area should also monitor the progress of the system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi