NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 24 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gabrielle, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.
1. Central and Western Tropical Atlantic (AL93):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or Thursday while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward into the
western tropical Atlantic, well north of the Leeward Islands. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The cyclone formation chance was high through both 48 hours (90%) and seven days. (90%).
2. Eastern Caribbean Sea (AL94):
A tropical wave over the northeastern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunder-storms. This wave is expected to move west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, spreading heavy rainfall and gusty winds into Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands today, and across the Dominican Republic be-ginning tonight. The system is then expected to slow down and turn northwestward when it reaches the southwestern Atlantic late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development in a few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form when the disturbance is in the vicinity of the Bahamas. Interests in the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter Aircraft is scheduled to perform a system survey this afternoon to gather data from the surrounding environment, if necessary. The cyclone formation chance was low through 48 hours (30%) and high over seven days (80%).
