NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
- Satellite imagery indicates that the circulation of the low pressure system over the western Gulf of Mexico is becoming better defined, and that the associated shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization. It appears likely that a short-lived tropical cyclone will form later today. However, the system is forecast to merge with a cold front and become post-tropical tonight over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, gale-force winds are expected behind the cold front over the western Gulf of Mexico today and Saturday. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
- Shower activity has increased this morning near the center of a large non-tropical low centered a few hundred miles southwest of the western Azores. Some additional development of this system is possible during the next couple of days as it moves generally east-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Beven
