NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
A broad area of low pressure associated with a low-latitude tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the tropical central Atlantic. Environ-mental conditions appear generally conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while it moves quickly west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic, approaching the northern Leeward Islands by the latter part of the week. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi
