NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL96):
An area of low pressure with associated disorganized showers and thunderstormsxis located a couple of hundred miles east of the northwestern Bahamas. This system is moving into an area of strong up-per-level winds and dry air, and the chances of it becoming a short-lived tropical storm appear to be decreasing. The low is expected to move slowly west-northwestward today and then turn northward and northeastward on Tuesday and Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A trough of low pressure over the eastern Caribbean Sea is associated with disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to movewestward during the next several days, and envi-ronmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development. A tropical depression could form late this week when the system reaches the central or southwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.