Tropical Weather Outlook

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Fri Sep 2 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Danielle, located about 900 miles west of the Azores.

1. East of the Leeward Islands:

two_atl_5d0.pngShower and thunderstorm activity has slightly increased since yesterday in association with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, overnight satellite-derived wind data indicate the circulation remains broad. Although environmental conditions are only marginally conducive, any additional development of the system over the next few days would lead to the formation of a tropical depression. The disturbance is expected to move slowly west-northwestward, toward the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward Islands. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains may occur over portions of the Leeward Islands during the next couple of days, and interests in that area should monitor the progress of the system. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has slightly increased since yesterday. However, this system is moving into an area of less favorable environmental conditions, and significant development is not expected.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart

The Daily Herald

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