Tropical Weather Outlook

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Thu Sep 1 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Five, located about 1000 miles west of the Azores.

East of the Leeward Islands:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands have changed little this morning. Although environmental conditions remain only marginally conducive, any additional development of the system over the next few days would lead to the formation of a tropical depression. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly west-northwestward, toward the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward Islands.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

two_atl_5d0-09-01.png
Satellite imagery and surface observations show that a broad area of low pressure is located over and to the northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. While surface observations indicate pressures are low in this area, the associated shower activity is currently

poorly organized. There is still some chance for the system to become a short-lived tropical depression within the next day or so before environmental conditions become unfavorable for further development. Regardless, the system could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today and tonight.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Bucci/Cangialosi

The Daily Herald

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