Special Tropical Weather Outlook

Special Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

1000 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):

An area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave is located about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression will likely form while the sys-tem moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

regw2A tropical wave just offshore of the coast of west Africa is producing disorganized showers and thun-derstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for some development of this system during the next several days while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Brown/Katz

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