Tropical Weather Outlook 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

Tropical Weather Outlook 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Peter, located about 100 miles north-northwest of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rose, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.

two atl 2d0

1. Showers and thunderstorms are currently somewhat limited associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. However, environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by Thursday or Friday while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A storm-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located about 700 miles west-northwest of the westernmost Azores. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics over marginally warm waters during the next few days while it executes a small cyclonic loop over the north-central Atlantic Ocean. However, by the end of the week, this system is expected to encounter more hostile environmental conditions..

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Papin