NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 6 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A surface trough located about 200 miles east of the east coast of Florida continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the east of its axis due to strong upper-level winds. These winds are not expected to be conducive for significant development of this system while it moves slowly northward and then northeastward off the southeastern United States coast during the next few days. By the weekend, the system is forecast to interact with a front near the coast of the southeastern United States, which should also limit tropical development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
Forecaster Berg
