Tropical Weather Outlook 800 AM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

Tropical Weather Outlook 800 AM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

two atl 2d0

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

An elongated area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter is located a few hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system have changed little in organization since yesterday. However, environmental conditions are marginally conducive for some further development, and Peter could briefly become a tropical depression again during the next day or two while it moves northeastward near 10 mph. By midweek, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central

tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave is moving offshore the west coast of Africa and into the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Hagen/Pasch